WWND?
Dec 27, 2017 22:28:52 GMT -5
White Sox GM (Michael), Yankees GM (Justin), and 3 more like this
Post by Brewers GM (Marty) on Dec 27, 2017 22:28:52 GMT -5
I know everyone in here at some point has asked themselves: "What would Natty do?". Well, wonder no longer. I'm going to take a guess on what direction I'd take your franchise, and then give the first two moves that I'd do to get there. I'm just going to go in order of appearance on the master.
AL East:
Baltimore Orioles: The first team isn't really a good example. They're obviously contending this year and already have a roster set up to do just that. He's 2.5M over the cap right now, so getting under would be my first priority. The rotation is solid but probably lacking a frontline arm. The bullpen is good, and the offense should be great. There's no big move that I'd make with this team.
Move 1: Cut the farm and get the 800K. If there's 10 MLB AB's or IP collectively in that group, I'll be shocked. It'd be even more shocking if any of those AB/IP are good.
Move 2: Sell Danny Espinosa for 100K to Jack. He looooves guys like Espinosa.
Boston Red Sox: This is another team that already has an obvious direction in mind. It's drastically different from O's, as it's probably 3-4 years away from being a true contender as it stands. He'll have to get to 10 MLB players at some point, but honestly that's not difficult.
Move 1: Consolidate some OF and SS depth in his MILB into pitching. With the attrition rate of MILB pitching and the high risk nature of nearly every pitcher he owns, packaging up Heliot Ramos, Juan Soto, and a guy like Yasel Antuna or Isaac Paredes for combo of Groome/Manning would make some sense for Red Sox even if it might be an overpay. If you're going to overpay, do it from depth. Those pitchers have been posted OTB, although not necessarily for MILB, but this might make an interesting package. Or maybe to Marlins for a Fernando Romero/Mike Soroka package to get a better timeline match for his offense.
Move 2: Use all 100 of his remaining rule 5 picks on pitching at all levels and ceiling. There is so much offense on the cusp of the majors in the system that there's not a ton of value in doing anything but trying to beat variance. I'd also attempt to stock up on guys that are high in the minors but may not have the huge arm/ceilings that will be in the majors soon. First it will help cheaply fill the 10 man minimum, and second people overpay for blah back end SP's early on scale. You don't have to look too far in the processed trades board to see the truth in that statement.
New York Yankees: The Yankees have a full 40 man roster, but talent-wise it's probably not much more than a team that's going to finish better than .500 due to a lack of impact talent. It does have massive depth though, and a lot of cap to burn if he chooses. Plus he's got 500 prospects in the minors, all of which are future HOF's. You know what I'm trying to do with my team/prospects, and I'd do the same here. I'm also going to take some liberties with time and step back a month in the past for one move:
Move 1: Get 1/4-paid Max Scherzer for Sal Romano, Charlie Tilson, Ben Gamel, and Matt Chapman. IDK if psych/zack does this, but 3-4 solid scale players might have done it. Zack probably would have considering his other accepted Scherzer offer. This lands him a legit ace to pair w/ Castillo go with the depth he already has. To step into the present, consider talking to Forbz about MadBum for something similar.
Move 2: Send Dustin May and Ryan Noda to Royals for Greg Holland. Goes against his philosophical grain taking on a salary and whatever he earns IRL in his free agent contract, but it's not like he doesn't have a cheap roster for the next 15 years already set up. He needs another closer, and Holland is a reliable option that also strikes out a bundle.
Bonus move: Sign Justin Smoak to man 1B.
Tampa Bay Rays: They have a deep rotation, a decent offense, and depending on how bullpen jobs shake out he could be OK there as well. I think that he's got no chance of competing with Jeff, so I'd just tear down. Just kidding. This is going to be difficult though.
Move 1: Move Carlos Rodon to Royals for Greg Holland 4M paid and Nick Delmonico. Yes, this is going to be a recurring theme, mostly because there are not really any locks for closer jobs on teams that aren't contending. And there are a few contenders that could use another closer or two. There's not going to be much time left for Rodon to show that he's not a ERA/WHIP destroyer, and to get something of value for him would alleviate that risk. Holland solidifies his pen, and Delmonico looked to have his shit together finally after being a decently regarded prospect back in his Orioles system days. He could get 10 games at 1B to gain eligibility quickly as Abreu starts to DH.
Move 2: Move Joc Pederson to STL for Carl Edwards and Ronald Guzman. Joc seemed to figure something out and Matt could use the offense in the OF. Edwards should be a source of holds to finish off his pen, and Guzman at some point this season should be a Ranger, not that Forbz would hang onto him.
Toronto Blue Jays: This is definitely a team in the middle, but at this point I would probably try to stay there. If an impact talent comes available, I'd make the move, if the opportunity to sell a guy like Manaea, Herrera, or Wong comes available, I'd also consider that. It's not the worst thing to be in the middle of the pack as long as you're heading in the right direction.
Move 1: Trade Sean Manaea to Rangers for Addison Russell. Bill has Segura sitting there forever on that extension and a need for SP's, and Russell isn't going to see time barring injury. It's an upside gamble on both sides with similar players on similar levels of control. Sanders has no close option at SS, and the GOAT SS Jordy Mercer is a 6 so he's not around forever. Sanders also has a lot of young SP's on the way in his MILB that will make their debut next year.
Move 2: The teams in the middle are the hardest. I'd probably hang onto the 13M rather than taking on a salary through FA or trade. I don't think this team is close enough to contend that piling a bunch of prospects into MLB talent is the answer either. I think the best plan would be to hover around and wait on someone to decide to sell off a controlled asset. Outside of 3B no position on this roster should be considered set, so just about anyone who is an improvement and controlled should be considered.
AL East:
Baltimore Orioles: The first team isn't really a good example. They're obviously contending this year and already have a roster set up to do just that. He's 2.5M over the cap right now, so getting under would be my first priority. The rotation is solid but probably lacking a frontline arm. The bullpen is good, and the offense should be great. There's no big move that I'd make with this team.
Move 1: Cut the farm and get the 800K. If there's 10 MLB AB's or IP collectively in that group, I'll be shocked. It'd be even more shocking if any of those AB/IP are good.
Move 2: Sell Danny Espinosa for 100K to Jack. He looooves guys like Espinosa.
Boston Red Sox: This is another team that already has an obvious direction in mind. It's drastically different from O's, as it's probably 3-4 years away from being a true contender as it stands. He'll have to get to 10 MLB players at some point, but honestly that's not difficult.
Move 1: Consolidate some OF and SS depth in his MILB into pitching. With the attrition rate of MILB pitching and the high risk nature of nearly every pitcher he owns, packaging up Heliot Ramos, Juan Soto, and a guy like Yasel Antuna or Isaac Paredes for combo of Groome/Manning would make some sense for Red Sox even if it might be an overpay. If you're going to overpay, do it from depth. Those pitchers have been posted OTB, although not necessarily for MILB, but this might make an interesting package. Or maybe to Marlins for a Fernando Romero/Mike Soroka package to get a better timeline match for his offense.
Move 2: Use all 100 of his remaining rule 5 picks on pitching at all levels and ceiling. There is so much offense on the cusp of the majors in the system that there's not a ton of value in doing anything but trying to beat variance. I'd also attempt to stock up on guys that are high in the minors but may not have the huge arm/ceilings that will be in the majors soon. First it will help cheaply fill the 10 man minimum, and second people overpay for blah back end SP's early on scale. You don't have to look too far in the processed trades board to see the truth in that statement.
New York Yankees: The Yankees have a full 40 man roster, but talent-wise it's probably not much more than a team that's going to finish better than .500 due to a lack of impact talent. It does have massive depth though, and a lot of cap to burn if he chooses. Plus he's got 500 prospects in the minors, all of which are future HOF's. You know what I'm trying to do with my team/prospects, and I'd do the same here. I'm also going to take some liberties with time and step back a month in the past for one move:
Move 1: Get 1/4-paid Max Scherzer for Sal Romano, Charlie Tilson, Ben Gamel, and Matt Chapman. IDK if psych/zack does this, but 3-4 solid scale players might have done it. Zack probably would have considering his other accepted Scherzer offer. This lands him a legit ace to pair w/ Castillo go with the depth he already has. To step into the present, consider talking to Forbz about MadBum for something similar.
Move 2: Send Dustin May and Ryan Noda to Royals for Greg Holland. Goes against his philosophical grain taking on a salary and whatever he earns IRL in his free agent contract, but it's not like he doesn't have a cheap roster for the next 15 years already set up. He needs another closer, and Holland is a reliable option that also strikes out a bundle.
Bonus move: Sign Justin Smoak to man 1B.
Tampa Bay Rays: They have a deep rotation, a decent offense, and depending on how bullpen jobs shake out he could be OK there as well. I think that he's got no chance of competing with Jeff, so I'd just tear down. Just kidding. This is going to be difficult though.
Move 1: Move Carlos Rodon to Royals for Greg Holland 4M paid and Nick Delmonico. Yes, this is going to be a recurring theme, mostly because there are not really any locks for closer jobs on teams that aren't contending. And there are a few contenders that could use another closer or two. There's not going to be much time left for Rodon to show that he's not a ERA/WHIP destroyer, and to get something of value for him would alleviate that risk. Holland solidifies his pen, and Delmonico looked to have his shit together finally after being a decently regarded prospect back in his Orioles system days. He could get 10 games at 1B to gain eligibility quickly as Abreu starts to DH.
Move 2: Move Joc Pederson to STL for Carl Edwards and Ronald Guzman. Joc seemed to figure something out and Matt could use the offense in the OF. Edwards should be a source of holds to finish off his pen, and Guzman at some point this season should be a Ranger, not that Forbz would hang onto him.
Toronto Blue Jays: This is definitely a team in the middle, but at this point I would probably try to stay there. If an impact talent comes available, I'd make the move, if the opportunity to sell a guy like Manaea, Herrera, or Wong comes available, I'd also consider that. It's not the worst thing to be in the middle of the pack as long as you're heading in the right direction.
Move 1: Trade Sean Manaea to Rangers for Addison Russell. Bill has Segura sitting there forever on that extension and a need for SP's, and Russell isn't going to see time barring injury. It's an upside gamble on both sides with similar players on similar levels of control. Sanders has no close option at SS, and the GOAT SS Jordy Mercer is a 6 so he's not around forever. Sanders also has a lot of young SP's on the way in his MILB that will make their debut next year.
Move 2: The teams in the middle are the hardest. I'd probably hang onto the 13M rather than taking on a salary through FA or trade. I don't think this team is close enough to contend that piling a bunch of prospects into MLB talent is the answer either. I think the best plan would be to hover around and wait on someone to decide to sell off a controlled asset. Outside of 3B no position on this roster should be considered set, so just about anyone who is an improvement and controlled should be considered.